Daily KOS: Elections Digest

  • NH-SenCNN/ORC: Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc): 48, Scott Brown (R): 48 (51-44 Shaheen among registered voters).
  • NH-SenKiley & Company (D): Shaheen: 51, Brown: 43 (Early Sept.: 51-43) (conducted for the DSCC).
  • NH-SenMagellan Strategies (R): Brown: 46, Shaheen: 44 (July: 46-41 Shaheen) (conducted for Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire).
  • NH-SenRasmussen: Shaheen: 48, Brown: 42 (March: Shaheen 50, Brown 41).

New Hampshire’s all over the place, with numbers from CNN and Magellan that will excite Republicans, while others—the DSCC’s responsive poll from Kiley, and, amusingly, Rasmussen—continue to show a solid leads for Jeanne Shaheen. It’ll be interesting to see how the Daily Kos Elections Poll Explorer adjusts its expectations after all these polls are inputted. Right now, it gives Shaheen an 85 percent chance at victory; check in first thing Tuesday morning to see how the new data changes things.

NH-02: The story of state Rep. Marilinda Garcia’s health care coverage has managed to get even weirder. Garcia is the Club for Growth darling who, in an interview after winning last week’s GOP primary, railed against Obamacare—then refused to say whether she was covered under it. Now Garcia’s elaborated by claiming she’s on a month-to-month plan that only insures catastrophic care, the very kind of bogus non-coverage the Affordable Care Act has tried to stamp out.

Indeed, her own campaign recognizes that her insurance policy is not compliant with the ACA, which as Josh Marshall notes, could be seen as a tea party “badge of honor.” But the real story here is that Garcia, who lives with her parents, works as a part-time harp teacher, and makes just $100 a year as a state representative, is, at least on paper, the exact sort of person who would benefit from Obamacare’s generous subsidies. The fact that she wants to block people in situations much like hers from obtaining access to health care coverage is very noteworthy.

  • NH-SenNextGen Climate spends another $175,000 against Republican Scott Brown.
  • NH-Gov: Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan has been viewed as the clear favorite against Republican Walt Havenstein. However, Hassan evidently takes him seriously enough to run a spot attacking his business record.
NH-02: Democratic Rep. Annie Kuster wastes no time in depicting Republican rival Marilinda Garcia as a tea party extremist.